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Peaks
Blog
22 Aug 2025

Summer holidays on the stock market

The past few stock market weeks had no significant highs or lows. Only Bitcoin peaked with a new record.

Table of Contents
Stock exchanges on summer break
Calm economy
Bitcoin breaks records

Stock exchanges on summer break

In July, most Peaks portfolios rose in value, with returns ranging from +0.3% for Balanced to +1.5% for Adventurous. They then fell slightly in the first half of August. On balance, the result for this summer is relatively flat.

Only the Cautious portfolio lagged behind. This is because it invests largely in European government bonds, which have fallen in value due to rising interest rates in Europe. Existing bonds (which offer a lower interest rate) are therefore less attractive than new bonds (with a higher interest rate).

As long as you hold on to your bonds, you don't have to be affected by this. You will simply keep receiving the (lower) interest on these bonds. And when the bonds mature, the proceeds will automatically be reinvested in new bonds with a higher interest rate.

Table 1: Net returns of Peaks portfolios

Peaks portfolio July 2025 Average annual since Peaks launch Total since Peaks launch
Cautious -0.3% -1.3% 2.2% 21.7%
Balanced 0.3% -1.8% 4.2% 42.4%
Ambitious 0.9% -2.3% 6.2% 66.1%
Adventurous 1.5% -2.8% 8.2% 92.2%

Important to know: These net returns reflect Peaks' portfolios in July 2025, all of 2025 and since the launch of Peaks, after deducting Peaks, fund, and transaction fees. The value of investments can fluctuate, and past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The above figures assume a portfolio value of €10,000 without any deposits or withdrawals. If you made deposits or withdrawals this month, your personal return may differ. Your return will also vary if you have invested less or more than €10,000 due to the monthly fees Peaks charges.

Table 2: Risk of Peaks portfolios

Risk (volatility)   July 2025

Avarage annual since Peaks launch

Cautious 2.8% 2.8% 5.5%
Balanced 3.8% 3.8% 7.4%
Ambitious 5.3% 5.3% 9.7%
Adventurous 7.1% 7.1% 12.2%

Important to know: This table shows the risk levels of the four Peaks portfolios over different time periods (last month, this year, and the average since Peaks launched). Risk, also known as volatility, reflects the variation in annualised returns and is measured using the standard deviation of daily net returns converted to an annual basis.

Calm economy

It wasn't just the stock markets that were on summer holiday; the economy also remained calm in recent weeks. Inflation is as expected in both Europe and the United States. There haven't been any surprises (positive or negative).

The effect of the US import tariffs is not really visible yet in the prices paid by consumers. However, it is reflected in producer prices, which rose by +0.9% – much more strongly than stock market analysts had predicted (+0.2%). It seems that companies are absorbing the higher prices themselves for now.

Nevertheless, the US Federal Reserve is still expected to lower interest rates from 4.5% to 4.25% in September, as the US market appears to be cooling down.

Table 3: Net returns of index funds in standard Peaks portfolios

Stocks ISIN July 2025 Total since launch Peaks
North America LU0629460089

1.5% -8.1% 153.0%
Europe IE00B52VJ196 -3.1% -1.2% 64.4%
Asia Pacific LU0629460832 -0.9% -1.1% 35.0%
Emerging markets IE00BYVJRP78 1.9% 4.3% 29.8%
Bonds        
European gov. bonds IE00B4WXJJ64 -1.6% -0.9% -5.3%
European corp. bonds LU0484968812 0.2% 1.6% 3.6%

Important to know: These net returns reflect the performance of index funds in July 2025, all of 2025, and since Peaks launched, after deducting Peaks, fund, and transaction fees. The value of investments can fluctuate, and past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Bitcoin breaks records

What did peak significantly this summer was the price of Bitcoin. On 14 August, it reached a new record high of over €105,000 ($124,000). More and more institutional investors, such as pension funds, are investing in Bitcoin or considering doing so. Previously, this was difficult because you cannot invest in Bitcoin through regulated exchanges. But thanks to the emergence of Bitcoin ETPs, this is now possible. You can also invest in such ETPs with Peaks.

Rosanne

Copywriter, Peaks

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